Bottom line, the satellites cannot be an EMP threat.
Well, maybe. It is clear he has had some help with developing his current “toys”. Who is to say one of the usual players didn’t donate him a few things to play with back then. My thought is your likely correct but part of war is psychological so again, whose to say?
Certainly, psychology, and dirty psychology at that, is part of war, which is why I wish I could get my economics guy to stay away from the subject. He is great at economics, but doesn’t understand the games we play. (Well, I used to, anyway. I am retired now.)
While anything is possible, not everything makes sense if you draw the game out to a reasonable conclusion. On the other hand, mutually assured suicide isn’t beyond certain people, one of whom is KJU, and that is why we are concerned about them having nuclear weapons.
Let’s be clear. The only player who owns miniaturized nuclear
weapons and who is not an adversary of N. Korea is China,
so that is the only other player I will address here.
China has been playing this to destabilize our foreign policy, but they know if it actually goes down, they will not emerge intact. So while their game is reckless, I don’t think they are suicidal. China has been giving this guy lots of leash to play with, but they still think they have this under control. I am concerned, because I am not so sure they do have it under control. WW1 was started by a diplomatic blunder (in the months following the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand and his wife), among powers that did not want war at all.
For China to remain in control of the game, they must give KJU weapons that keep the region on edge, but they must keep him from actually precipitating war. They know that if KJU actually precipitates nuclear war, they stand to lose half their economy (more or less, and along with, perhaps, a million of their people) which is why they told KJU that if he starts a war with us, he is on his own.
Now, with that last idea in mind, it would make no sense to provide KJU with orbital nuclear weapons. In addition to the above argument, KJU’s launch vehicles were, at the time, unreliable, and that is another reason China wouldn’t have given him such weapons. Had they crashed and we recovered the debris, it would have pointed to them.
Now, maybe we can explore what might precipitate into a real EMP scenario.
Statistics: Posted by TRex2 — Wed Sep 06, 2017 3:19 am